Calling upon deep similarities or just a coincidence?

The Soviets complained that Ota's design (left) had no door; the Japanese delegation complained that the vertical line between the door and the doorframe in the Soviet design (right) made it more difficult to recognize the figure of the runner.

Japanese designer Yukio Ota designed the exit sign on the left while Russian designers designed the one on the right. They were designed completely separately and both submitted to the ISO to be the international exit sign in the 1970’s.

Apparently international visitors and designers are surprised that Americans still use the nearly ubiquitous red “Exit” on a black or white sign. But if we are big enough to have our own currency and rely on the Imperial system when everyone else has switched to the Metric system, isn’t it possible for America to be an optimal sign region as well. You don’t have to speak English to know what a red EXIT means and in any case essentially all Americans know what it means already. Switching costs matter.

HT: Slate’s Julia Turner’s piece  The Big Red Word vs. the Little Green ManThe international war over exit signs.

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Signs of a shift to a new equalibrium?

Bank officials said that effective this summer, customers who try to make purchases with their debit cards without enough money in their checking accounts will simply be declined.

“What our customers kept telling me is ‘just don’t let me spend money that I don’t have,’ ” said Susan Faulkner, the bank’s deposit and card product executive…

As of July 1, the Federal Reserve will require that banks obtain a customer’s consent before they can charge them overdraft fees for A.T.M. transactions and debit purchases; many banks now automatically enroll customers.

But the collapse in consumer credit, combined with new rules limiting banks’ ability to make money on credit cards and overdraft fees, has prompted banks to experiment with fees that reach a broader set of customers, like annual fees on credit cards and monthly fees on checking accounts.

Bank of America to End Overdraft Fees on Debit Purchases

As a cost sensitive shopper than shops around for financial services and never carries a balance, I am a massive beneficiary of a financial system that recovers its fixed costs from people who have overdrafts, carry balances, and use other expensive financial services. Nevertheless, I am aware that such fees are carried by people who are just barely making ends meet. I’m not going to stop looking for high interest savings or using no fee checking. However, serving me isn’t free and I prefer an equilibrium where we all pay our fair share of being served with financial services.  That means that some people are going to get a worse deal. I’m okay with that even if it turns out to be me.

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The science of Mangroves as salt water processors

You probably already knew that fresh water is much more rare than salt water on earth. Since fresh water is relatively hard to come by there will be tremendous financial rewards to people who figure out how to make efficient use of salty water for human purposes. Yuka Yoneda, over at Inhabitat reports on a neat potential use of Mangrove Trees to purify water for agriculture purposes, specifically tomatoes (Bubble Shaped Skyscraper is a Fresh Water Factory). I hadn’t know that Mangroves could use brackish water to make fresh water for their own use and exude it in a way useful for other purposes.  I suspect the capital required to make the spheres required for the project would make it uneconomical, but perhaps we’ll genetically modify other plants with the salt processing tools of the mangrove. Check out these amazing adaptions:

Full strength seawater has a salt concentration of about 34 parts per thousand, or 34 grams per litre. The cell sap concentration of the New Zealand mangrove is about 2 grams per litre.

This is much higher than land plants which have sap concentrations of 0.2 grams per litre, but still much lower than seawater.

This salt content in its sap is one of the secrets to its ability to survive in such a salty environment, by stopping water loss from the plant tissues.

The leaves of the mangrove also help the plant regulate its salt content by being able to secrete salt. Under a microscope hundreds of tiny pores can be seen on the upper surface of a mangrove leaf.

These are the openings of salt-secreting glands which get rid of extra salt by exuding a brine that is more concentrated than full strength seawater. Along with the salty residues of splash and spray, this is easily rinsed away by rain or the rising tide.

Another way of getting rid of salt is by shedding leaves. Many plants use this as a way of isolating and getting rid of unwanted chemicals in old leaves.

Mangroves lose about 60 percent of their leaves in a year. In summer, when the water loss through evaporation would be greatest, the mangrove increases its leaf drop by 10 times.

Mangroves Forests of the harbour

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Internet options in hotel rooms

In an either an effort to extract the maximum surplus from its guests or bureaucratic incompetence, the Sheraton Dallas recently offered my at least 7 options of Internet speeds and an option for premium access with my own IP address. The least expensive offering was second from the bottom of the list.   Because I have a smart phone now I only purchased that least expensive option for a single day when I needed to deal with a few attachments that I couldn’t work with on my phone.  I’ve heard that more expensive hotels unbundle the Internet from their included room services because wealthier customers are unlikely to do without just because it isn’t included while frugal ones demand it be included with their lower priced rooms in more modest hotels.   Will widespread smart phones bring down Internet access prices? I’m not sure.  Cell phones have cut back dramatically on hotel phone usage but the prices haven’t fallen. That said, Internet access is already free in many hotels where as I can’t recall ever staying in a hotel with free phone service. Will Internet access in fancier hotels prove to be more like Internet access in less expensive hotels or like.

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An enjoyable fantasy read keeps getting better

Please excuse the light posting. I was in Texas at a conference and found myself exhausted and busy upon my return. I managed to work my way through The Tourmaline and most of  The White Tyger. They are the second and third books of The Princess of Romania series that I discussed in An enjoyable fantasy read. The series gets better and better.  Unlike most fantasy novels that do not discuss why certain people get the divine right to rule us, why technology exists if magic is possible, why the main characters seem not mind having their entire lives manipulated and planned by forces outside of their control, or how evil people think about what they do and manage to attract loyal followers, this book seriously engages the most interesting questions that fantasy novels leave inspected. The fantasy novel aspects are good and the writing is excellent as well.

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Were the 2000’s lost?

Recently Felix Salmon tipped me off (Chart of the day: The USA’s lost decade) to an Economist Chart purporting to show what an economic disaster the 2000’s were (Almost a lost decade).

They don’t post their data so I I tried to recreate it. I couldn’t do so exactly but did the best I could ( Recreated Economist Chart Data). I knew that the 1990’s ended at the peak of the technology boom and the 2000’s ended at just about the nadir of the real estate  and banking problems so it was going to look pretty bad. So what I did was I calculated the carts above to look and see (for available data) if I could vary the starting year for the decade. That is, instead of seeing if the 2000’s ended in 2009 I varied looking at ten year windows ending 2008,2007,2006, and so on. My numbers don’t line up exactly so you’ll just have to take a look and see what I did and if you like it because I can’t tell what they did. Results below:

Decade Ends in Year Worst Decade For Income Growth Worst Decade For Consumption Growth Worst Decade For Payroll Growth
0 (1950’s: 1940-1950) 1940’s 1940’s 1960’s
1 1990’s 1990’s 1960’s
2 1980’s 1980’s 1960’s
3 1950’s 1980’s 1960’s
4 1950’s 1990’s 2000’s
5 (1950’s: 45-55) 1950’s 1970’s 2000’s
6 1990’s 1990’s 2000’s
7 2000’s 2000’s 2000’s
8 2000’s 2000’s 2000’s
9 (1950’s: 49-59) 1930’s 1930’s 2000’s
Decade Ends in Year W

orst Decade For Income Growth

Worst Decade For Consumption Growth Worst Decade For Payroll Growth
0 1940’s 1940’s 1960’s
1 1990’s 1990’s 1960’s
2 1980’s 1980’s 1960’s
3 1950’s 1980’s 1960’s
4 1950’s 1990’s 2000’s
5 1950’s 1970’s 2000’s
6 1990’s 1990’s 2000’s
7 2000’s 2000’s 2000’s
8 2000’s 2000’s 2000’s
9 1930’s 1930’s 2000’s

The way I read this the 2000’s were not particularly bad. If we look at the three measures and various starting periods, it is only by payroll growth that United States that the 2000’s s seem to have been clearly lost. Otherwise the seemingly boom years of the  1950’s and 1980’s give them a run for their money as the worst.

And the last column isn’t particularly useful (nor is the last graph above) because it doesn’t account for population growth. If we use the decennial censuses to subtract off each decades population growth rate we see that 1950’s, 1960’s, and 1970’s had lesser job growth relative to population.

So it is hard for me to read too deeply into the observed data from the economic performance of American over periods of ten years ending in 0. I cannot see anything particularly interesting about the  2000’s except to understand them and unusually including the top of the peak as the start and the tough as the end.

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Not always ideological

I’ve been making the point in my personal life that  your interpretation of the Constitution shouldn’t always be what you also happen to think is good policy. If it does, you don’t really have a theory of constitutional law so much as just a theory that the constitution really doesn’t mean anything at all.
Today the NY Times has an Op-Ed: The Second Amendment’s Reach where they advocate the expansion of gun rights because it upholds the principle of integration of the bill of rights into state law (States can’t disobey the bill of rights either). They do so even though it has been their clear position that expanding gun rights is a bad public policy. This is the first time I recall them analyzing constitutional law in a way that puts legal principle ahead of policy preferences.  I wanted to recognize a good thing when I saw it.

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Is making it easier to spend money good or bad?

There is something very right about Felix Salmon’s recent post In praise of invisible payments :

In a world where people want to maximize their own happiness and minimize their own pain, it makes sense to automate and otherwise anesthetize as much as possible things like tax collection. If I’m happier paying more taxes less visibly, then isn’t that Pareto-optimal for all concerned?

Felten says that he would rather scrounge for change at a parking meter and at tollbooths, rather than pay painlessly with a cellphone or EZ-Pass, precisely because he wants to feel frustration and annoyance at paying those fees: “those are just the emotions I want to cultivate toward the entire enterprise,” he writes. Which, I suppose, is his right. But most of us — those of us who tend towards the sensible — are much more likely to want to minimize the frustration and annoyance in our lives.

And yet, I wonder about self-control. Making it easier to spend money means that when we impulsively do so that is easier as well. When we are capable of making fully consistent budget plans facilitating transactions is great. Lower a transaction cost makes us better off even if we end up spending more now rather than later. But not all transaction facilitation is good if self control is limited. Imagine a machine that delivered cigarettes to your home office. Under perfect self control this only makes people better off. Smokers can buy their cigarettes without having to head out into the snow and they would always be fresh. But for the smoker with limited self control trying to quite he can’t just dump the packs he has. Every time he moves his mouse he sees the delivery device and is reminded of how much he could use a smoke. It would be far harder to quit and one would imagine the total amount of cigarettes consumed would increase.

The same thing could be occurring here. If you were reminded of how expensive tolls were, if you you had to actually shell out the cash for Kindle books many people would spend less. Not just because of the hassle but because the prompting would reinforce their self-control rather than facilitating impulsive behavior.  Megan McArdle in her Atlantic piece Lead Us Not Into Debt shows this in action:

Most things sound a lot crazier from the outside, and so once I’d decided to write about the friendly, slightly bombastic man on the television screen, I thought I should try his program, as outlined in his book The Total Money Makeover. At the beginning of August, I had dutifully sat down with Peter, my fiancé, to draft a budget. Once we’d given every dollar a name (as the book puts it), I drove to the bank and withdrew 1,800 of them. Huddled over the wheel to hide this stupendous wad of cash from prying eyes, I doled out the money among various envelopes for groceries, parking, entertainment, clothing, and so on, as recommended by Ramsey—and, funnily enough, by my grandmother, who invented a nearly identical system to manage my grandfather’s meager earnings from delivering groceries during the Great Depression.

When you pay for something with a credit card, or even a debit card, you can easily spend a few extra dollars here and there. But as Ramsey explained—while waving a handful of hundred-dollar bills to illustrate the point—if you have to actually hand over some of your dwindling cash supply, you tend to ponder every purchase. That impulsive latte buy becomes a little less enjoyable when every time you haul out your wallet, a quavering voice inside your head asks, “You want to send Uncle Abe away?” And sure enough, though we thought we’d budgeted conservatively for just the necessities, we nonetheless finished the month with extra money in every envelope.

I have never felt as serenely in control of my finances as I have during these months of knowing that every single dollar is where it is supposed to be: either in the bank, or on a well-chaperoned date with our envelope organizer. The process has been surprisingly painless but, even more surprisingly, pleasant.

So even smart, high earning, relatively prudent people can struggle with self-control, and  a proceedure that makes it harder to spend money impulsively can actually make you happier in the long run. I’m not making a point that all transaction facilitation tools are bad. There is no need to use Rai stones as money. But Felten’s point, that transaction facilitation comes with costs and benefits is not a ridiculous one. Some people, especially those with poor financial impulse control, may want to avoid availing themselves of the latest and greatest ways to make spending money easier.

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Killing Mahmoud al-Mabhouh

A Perfectly Framed Assassination is a insightful and detailed discussion of the assassination of Mahmoud al-Mabhouh. If you suspect that Israel was responsible but wondered how they could badly screw up the secrecy then this essay will rivet you.

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I’m a sucker for a disaster yarn

The Last Four Minutes of Air France Flight 447 is the story of that mysterious crash of the plane from Brazil to Paris. Not for the faint of heart but nevertheless fascinating.

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